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World Cup Final Odds: Germany Favored vs Argentina
Argentina may have home-continent advantage, but they are the underdog in the World Cup final in the wake of Germany’s epic semi-final win over Brazil.
On paper, Argentina has the most talented offenses in the tournament led by Lionel Messi, who has four goals in the World Cup. But on the field, Germany has been the most prolific scoring team, a point they drove home time after time in their 7-1 semi-final win over the hosts.
Sportsbooks tracked by worldcupodds.net has Germany as the World Cup favourite posted at +120, with Argentina at +240 and a draw line of +230.
In the three knockout stage matches, Argentina has not given up a single goal. But they will face a German attack led by Thomas Müller and Miroslav Klose that is brimming with confidence after scoring five goals times in 19 minutes.
While Argentina beat the Netherlands in the semifinals, they did not score and did not have a great match in the midfield. That has to be a major concern since Germany is stacked in that area of the pitch with the trio of Bastian Schweinsteiger, Sami Khedira and Philipp Lahm.
Can Messi regain his magic? The Barcelona superstar has not scored in the last two matches. He and Gonzalo Higuain must pace the offense, but they will be facing keeper Manuel Neuer and a German defense that has given up only two goals in three knockout-stage matches.
Argentina lost the time-of-possession battle in the Dutch match and it is likely they will do so facing Germany. However, they need to disrupt the passing lanes in the midfield and also look for the counter-attack.
Per Mertesacker and Jerome Boateng are two bigger defenders and the smaller Argentina attackers need to use good ball movement to create scoring chances. That will be key, as it is unlikely they score off set pieces and crosses since they are giving away so much size up front.
Muller, with five goals, and Messi, with four, still have a chance to claim the Golden Boot as World Cup scoring champion. The leader and odds-on favourite is James Rodriguez from Colombia who potted six.
Argentina will play another solid defensive match and this final will be close, but Germany is simply too strong all over the pitch and they will win.
Prediction from worldcupodds.net: 2-0 Germany